When polls like these drop every so often, the first instinct is to panic. Biden is DOWN BIG to Trump!
I’ll give you 5 reasons why panic is exactly the wrong action to take, and instead you should turn to action instead.
- Polling is broken. Whether it is low response rates, wonky crosstabs, improper weighting, or polling bias, even polling companies agree that polling is broken as it stands right now. I’d argue that polling isn’t even worth paying attention to anymore, because it is like trying to read entrails or the flight of birds to make predictions.
- We’re overperforming in actual elections. Yet again, there was a special election last night. This time, it was in the Buffalo, NY area. Biden won here by 24 points in 2020, but our nominee, State Sen. Tim Kennedy, won by quite a bit more (36 points), outpacing even the previous incumbent!
- We’re organizing like never before. Biden is opening field offices in ALL of the swing states and in critical areas of each swing state. He’s opened offices here so far: Pennsylvania, 24; Michigan, 30; Wisconsin 44. North Carolina; 10, Georgia; 7, Florida; 1. I could not find numbers on Arizona or Nevada. How much field has Trump done? ZERO.
- Most people aren’t paying attention yet. People tune out the day to day political foibles and things we think are important never turn out to be that way. If polls are this bad after Labor Day, then perhaps it is time to hit the panic button. Now? Read the first bullet point again.
- We’re have a LOT more donations, and it isn’t even close. People are donating to Democrats at a record pace, while funds have dried up (relatively speaking) for the GOP. Perhaps cultivating a base of lower income marks isn’t the best strategy, nor is using their fundraising dollars to pay your legal bills.
So, instead of looking at the latest polls, start volunteering, donating, texting, writing postcards… ANYTHING but panicking.
Speaking of donating, I have donation links to all of the key races below. The best part? These links OPT YOU OUT of all of the annoying e-mails and text messages you get when you donate to ActBlue!
Save Our Senate!: This fund helps the 9 key Senate races for control of the upper chamber. I’ve raised over $11.8k so far, and I hope to raise a lot more with this fund.
Beatable16: These 16 House races are in Biden districts that still vote for GOP representatives. This fund just started, so it only has raised about $1.6k so far. I hope for 100 times that by November.
Save the Majority: These 23 House races are all about protecting our incumbents from the GOP. It is just as important to have a strong defense as it is to go on offense. I’ve raised nearly $6.6k so far.
Defeat the MAGA Dozen: These 14 races are tougher to win, but the challengers have proven themselves viable and can win. I’ve raised over $5.6k for this fund, and hope for more.
Re-elect Joe Biden: The head of the party needs funds too! He is locked in a close race with the Tangerine Terror and will need as many donations as possible. We’ve raised nearly $27.5k.
Remember, panic is counter-productive! Action is useful!